Ashcroft In America

New Ashcroft in America podcast: Iowa and Minnesota

By Lord Ashcroft

Our US focus group tour takes us to Cedar Rapids, Iowa, and Minneapolis, Minnesota, where we listen to voters discuss the Saudis, the Honduras caravan, President Trump and his attitude to women, potential alternative presidential candidates, divisions in American politics, and how to vote in next month’s midterm elections.

Ashcroft in America podcast: my interview with Steve Hilton

By Lord Ashcroft

In the latest Ashcroft in America podcast Steve Hilton, Fox News host and former Downing Street adviser, talks to me about Brexit, Trump and the different effects of populism in Britain and America, and offers some stern advice to Mrs. May.

‘We’re no longer Democrat and Republican, we’re socialism against conservatism’: listening to voters before the midterm elections

By Lord Ashcroft

Next month’s midterm elections could change the balance of power in Washington. As before the presidential election two years ago, I’m conducting focus groups in key districts across the United States to listen to real voters as they weigh up their decision: whether to keep the Republicans in full control, or whether to put the Democrats in charge of the House of Representatives and even the Senate. (You can hear what they have to say – as well as the thoughts of the politicians and commentators I am interviewing along the way – in my regular Ashcroft in America podcast). Our tour began in New Hampshire, where we spoke to primary voters from both parties, and New Jersey, where we heard from independents who had backed the Republicans in the last Congressional elections, and people had voted only reluctantly for Donald Trump (more…)

New Ashcroft in America podcast: New Hampshire & New Jersey

By Lord Ashcroft

In my first round of pre-midterm election focus groups, voters in New Hampshire and New Jersey weigh up next month’s decision, and reflect on Brett Kavanaugh’s Supreme Court confirmation, the Trump presidency, and potential candidates for 2020.

New Ashcroft in America podcast – my interviews with Christine Todd Whitman and James Pindell

By Lord Ashcroft

Ahead of my new round of research listening to voters across the US, I speak to former New Jersey Governor Christine Todd Whitman and James Pindell of the Boston Globe about the midterms, the future of the two parties, the likelihood of a challenge to President Trump in the Republican primaries and the prospect of a third-party candidate.

New Ashcroft in America podcast – introducing my research on the US midterm elections

By Lord Ashcroft

In my latest podcast I talk to MSNBC political analyst Elise Jordan about my Ashcroft in America research looking at next month’s midterm elections in the US, and about my new book White Flag? An examination of the UK’s defence capability.

 

America at the midterms

By Lord Ashcroft

With two months to go until the midterm elections, I have conducted a 6,000-sample poll of American voters to provide a snapshot of the national mood as the campaigns get fully into gear.

To start with the biggest-picture question of all, is the country heading in the right direction, or is it off on the wrong track?

Nobody will be surprised to hear that those who voted positively for Donald Trump overwhelmingly think things are going well, that those who did so reluctantly in order to stop Hillary Clinton are less sure, and that those who voted against him think things are going very badly indeed. Independent voters match the population as a whole – just over half say the country is on the wrong track, with 36% saying things are heading the right way.

What might be more significant is the change since we last ask the question nearly a year ago (more…)

Do not doubt Donald Trump – he could easily be re-elected

By Lord Ashcroft

This piece was initially published at TIME.com

If in November 2020 we are looking back on how Donald J. Trump came to be re-elected as President of the United States, those undergoing a second round of horror and dismay will find themselves reflecting on how seriously, and how often, they underestimated their foe.

The left has history when it comes to looking down on, and therefore underrating, its opponents. Ronald Reagan was derided as a genial but bumbling movie actor but was elected twice to govern both his state and his country. As was George W. Bush, who seemed to inspire a kind of hysterical contempt in his adversaries: Haha, he’s so stupid. He says words like “misunderestimate.” Oh, he’s beaten us. Again.

Donald Trump, by the same token, was surely too erratic and offensive and vulgar and narcissistic and unqualified to get his party’s nomination, let alone run an effective campaign. Let alone win.

You might think that the anti-Trumpists would have begun to learn from this long series of events, but apparently not (more…)

‘We didn’t elect him to be a saint, we elected him to be a leader’: my latest American focus groups

By Lord Ashcroft

Last December the voters of Alabama did something they had not done for twenty-seven years – they elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate. The extraordinary result prompted some to wonder whether the political tide could be turning, even in the Republican strongholds of the South. Last week I held focus groups in two neighbouring states, Tennessee and Mississippi, to take the temperature in the region, and to assess the current mood of American voters, especially those who had put Donald Trump in the White House.

 

Blue tsunami?

Phil Bryant, the Governor of Mississippi, was sanguine about the Alabama upset when I interviewed him in Jackson, the state capital. “I think it was an anomaly (more…)

Ashcroft In America podcast: Tennessee & Mississippi

By Lord Ashcroft

Voters in Tennessee and Mississippi discuss Trump, Russia, North Korea, tariffs, flags, guns and Stormy Daniels, Memphis Congressman Steve Cohen predicts a ‘blue tsunami’ in November, and I interview Mississippi Governor Phil Bryant.