By-elections

Runcorn by-election: Reform UK in pole position

“I can do this, and I’ll do it again if you don’t buck up your ideas”: My focus groups in Somerton, Selby and Uxbridge

Many assume Boris would lose a by-election in Uxbridge… but would he?

“He’s a bit of a geezer, in an Eton sort of way”: my by-election focus groups in Wakefield and Tiverton & Honiton

Nigel Farage is right – after Rochester all general election bets are off

UKIP lead by 12 points in Rochester & Strood – but what will happen next May?

A tale of two by-elections – and why polls are snapshots, not predictions

Labour set for clear win in Heywood & Middleton

UKIP 32 points ahead in Clacton

Tories set to hold Newark